Reliability… The Most Important Word in Today’s Realty Equity Markets

realtycapital, 11 February 2008, No comments
Categories: News|Views

Chicago, Illinois, February 11, 2008 – Investment sales activity in 2007 finished at near record levels despite the national disruption within the debt capital markets.  Many firms reported Fourth quarter numbers were down significantly from historical norms and activity levels are expected to be lower in the foreseeable future.  Driven by changing debt availability and terms, significant pricing gaps among buyers and sellers are creating delays in launching of any major assets sales.  This slowdown is expected to continue well into 2008 until liquidity returns to the marketplace.

Lender pull-back on loan-to-value ratios, amortization schedules and increase spreads resulted in quantifiable changes in certain valuations.  Recession fears and cautious economic outlooks continue to created hesitations among most investors.  Several transactions on the verge of coming to market are delayed as seller timing and forecasting remains the deciding factor.  In many instances values of certain property types (particularly B and C-grade) are down by as much as 15%.   

According to James Postweiler, an Advisory Board Member of The Real Estate Capital Institute®, “A window of opportunity is open for investors with cash and the willingness to break from the heard. Those that follow through and close with little difficulty will emerge as preferable entities and will be selected as winning bidders even at lower-priced offers.”  He adds, “Reliability – equal with price – has risen as a primary consideration in seller decisions.”

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Las Vegas, NV - February 6, 2010 - According to industry leaders gathering in Las Vegas this week, debt capital is readily available for 2010.  Optimism is in the air and the mortgage lenders are starting to offer more generous terms and conditions.  In summary, timing is excellent for select borrowers in securing debt based on the following conditions:  (1) Recovering economy, (2) Ample supply of capital and (3) Limited supply of financeable real estate assets.  The following highlights summarize the 2010 state of the realty capital markets including an overall outlook and overall funding program offerings:  Back to Basics:  As lenders workout of their legacy problems, new funding goals surface which are clearly more ambitious than 2009. Still underwriting of actual numbers w/o projections, yet inflation fears exist. Most lenders are Indifferent to spreads, but not competition. Valuing real estate properties in a declining market still a challenge. More allocation of funds available above target amounts if deal flow is of sufficient quality Underwriting Dynamics:  As has been the case last year, high-quality projects in major markets backed by excellent sponsorship and cash flow characteristics are most desired—especially based on low leverage of 65% of value.  Location/Property Types: Major MSAs strongly preferred for optional pricing and leverage.  Otherwise a substantially most costly financing with lower leverage. Preferred property types ranked in order:  (1) Multifamily, (2) Credit-Tenant lease of all property types, (3) Industrial, (4) Retail, (5) Office - however medical office ranks equal to Industrial and (5) Lodging. Pricing (Permanent Fixed-Rate Loan): Agency pricing for apartments starts in the low to mid-5% range for 5 year or greater term. Life company pricing starts mid-5% to 6% for 5 years or more term mostly targeted for commercial property pricing (agencies are more competitively priced) More entrepreneurial funds start at 7% or more targeting secondary markets, smaller fundings, older properties and lodging assets. Add a pricing premium of 25 to 50 basis points for loans below $5 million. Yield differential disappearing - typical ($5 to $50 million) vs. larger loans. Forward funds available up to a year based on 6 o 8 basis points premium per month.  Leverage: Above 65% LTV on a select basis combined with lower spreads. Values based on the lower of: (a) purchase price, (b) appraised value or (c) lender imposed capitalization rate.